2007 September 18–thetechnicaltrader.net

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Small Cap stocks Portfolio Manager
Symbol
L/S
Entry Date
Entry
Last
G\L Today
Total G\L
????
L
2008-08-25
1.125
0.98
0.00
12.89%
????
L
2008-08-29
4.82
4.70
0.00
2.49%
????
L
2008-09-05
2
2.10
0.00
5%
????
L
2008-09-05
4.55
4.79
0.00
5.27%
????
L
2008-09-05
4
4.28
0.00
7%
Initial Capital = $50000 /10% equity per trade
Total Portfolio Performance:
620.22 %
TTT.net Benchmark Performance
Index
Start Date
Start Value
% change
Current Value
Nasdaq
2006-03-30
2340.82
3.63%
2255.88
DJIA
2006-03-30
11150.7
0.63%
11220.96
S&P500
2006-03-30
1300.25
4.46%
1242.31
TTT.net
2006-03-30
50000
620.22%
360110
S&P 08'
2008-01-01
1467.97
15.37%
1242.31
Last 5 Closed Trades
Symbol
L/S
Entry Date
Exit Date
Bought
Sold
Gain/Loss
BLG
L
2008-08-26
2008-09-27
1.23
1.23
0%
RHD
L
2008-08-25
2008-09-26
2.75
3.22
17.09%
NWA
S
2008-09-02
2008-09-03
11.16
11.56
3.58%
GLBL
L
2008-08-26
2008-09-02
9.58
9.14
4.59%
STSA
L
2008-08-14
2008-08-18
9.39
10.34
10.12%
All closed Trades
08' Black Service Performance
Up To Sep 1st
+101.19%
The Dow
Last: 11220.96 Change: +32.73
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September 18th, 2007

Travel with Universal China - Small Cap UTVG.OB

About Universal Travel Group

Universal Travel Group, a leading air travel and air cargo transportation agency in Southern China, is engaged in providing reservation, booking, and domestic and international travel and tourism services throughout China. The company’s core services include booking services for air tickets and hotels as well as air cargo transportation and tour packaging for customers. Universal Travel recently completed the acquisitions of Shenzhen Speedy Dragon Enterprise Ltd., a nationwide cargo logistics company, Xi’an Golden Net Travel Serve Service Co., Ltd. which provides air tickets, train tickets and packaged tours, and Shanghai Lanbao Travel Service Co., Ltd., which owns and manages the award winning China Booking Association website http://www.cba-hotel.com/. Universal Travel’s goal is to become China’s leading travel services provider in the aviation, cargo, hotel booking and tour packaging segments. For more information, visit www.chutg.com.

I just can’t seem to get enough of these small cap Chinese stocks that are extremely undervalued. Seems like another one pops up every week :) Which i certainly can’t complain about as we’ve capitalized greatly on these undervalued Chinese stocks latley.

UTVG is my latest small cap China stock that i just came across today after it made a bullish breakout from its ascending triangle pattern with above average volume confirmation suggesting continued trending upwards for this stock.

Recently last month UTVG reported a strong quarter which beet the street estimates by 25% resulting in .05eps for the quarter. Currently UTVG is trading at 27x earnings compared to the Consumer Services industry average of 36.x earnings making UTVG look somewhat undervalued with its current reported financial status. Though growth story isn’t expected to stop as UTVG expects to report earnings of .24 for 2007 which entails 200% earnings from from 2006. For 2008 analysts are expecting UTVG to report .39eps giving them a low forward 08′ PE of just 8.56x earnings. We should expect their stock price to continue north to catch of with its future valuation as time passes. Theoretically for UTVG to be fairly valued in its industry we should expect price to proceed skyward near $14/share as we head into 2008. This is calculated by multiplying the expected annual 08′ eps of .39 x the industry average PE of 36x earnings which gives us an estimated share price of $14.04.

RECENT HEADLINES:

UNIVERSAL TRAVEL GROUP Files SEC form 8-K/A, Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets, Regulation FD Disclo
EDGAR Online (Tue 12:27pm)
Universal Travel Group Newly-acquired Subsidiary Xi’an Golden Net Reports $4.4M Revenue for the First Six Months of FY ‘07
PR Newswire (Tue 9:26am)
Universal Travel Group to Present at the Maxim Group Growth Conference in NYC Presentation to be Webcast Live
PR Newswire (Mon 11:11am)
UNIVERSAL TRAVEL GROUP Files SEC form 8-K, Change in Directors or Principal Officers, Financial Statements and Exhibi
EDGAR Online (Mon, Sep 10)
Universal Travel Group Appoints Richard Randall to Board of Directors and Chairman of Independent Audit Committee
PR Newswire (Fri, Sep 7)
UNIVERSAL TRAVEL GROUP Financials
EDGAR Online Financials (Tue, Aug 28)
UNIVERSAL TRAVEL GROUP Files SEC form 8-K, Regulation FD Disclosure
EDGAR Online (Fri, Aug 17)
Universal Travel Group Second Quarter 2007 Earnings Report Call scheduled for 2:00 pm ET today
Vcall (Wed, Aug 15)
Universal Travel Group Q2 FY ‘07 Revenue $7.02M; Net Income $1.65M or $0.05 Per Share
PR Newswire (Tue, Aug 14)
UNIVERSAL TRAVEL GROUP Files SEC form 10QSB, Quarterly Report
EDGAR Online (Tue, Aug 14)

Overall this looks like another great opportunity for us to capitalize on an undervalued small cap China stock on the verge of a major move sparked by a bullish breakout of an ascending triangle pattern based on technical analysis, that is also backed by strong fundamentals.

Im looking to buy UTVG.OB during tomorrows session.utvg1.gif

September 18th, 2007

Awaiting The FED

The markets advancing ahead of the FED meeting that is to take place at 2:15PM that we’re hoping results in the rates being cut. Technically the DOW chart is looking very bullish as the short term consolidation pattern is breaking out to the upside. Though this could all change in a heart beat in the FED meeting this afternoon doesn’t go the way investors want it. Lets watch for what the FED has to say this afternoon.
dow10.gif

Stocks Advance Ahead of Fed
Tuesday September 18, 11:18 am ET
By Madlen Read, AP Business Writer

 

Stocks Rise Ahead of Fed Rate Decision, Earnings and Benign Inflation Lift Investors’ Spirits NEW YORK (AP) — Stocks rose Tuesday as investors, heartened by upbeat earnings, awaited the Federal Reserve’s meeting on interest rates. The Dow Jones industrials rose about 100 points.Wall Street’s focus will be the central bank when it issues its decision on rates and its accompanying economic statement at 2:15 p.m. EDT. The slumping housing market, tightening credit market and volatile stocks have given investors reason to believe that monetary policy is in need of some loosening.

Most in the market expect either a quarter-point cut in the benchmark federal funds rate or a half-point cut, given last month’s decline in jobs and weakening retail sales. Equally important is how the Fed characterizes the housing, credit and stock markets’ drag on the U.S. economy, and if it suggests there are more rate reductions to come.As investors waited for the central bank’s decision, they were pleased to see economic and corporate data come in better than expected. Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., the nation’s fourth-largest investment bank, posted a smaller-than-anticipated 3 percent decline in third-quarter profit compared to a year ago. Lehman is the first of the major U.S. brokerages to report earnings from the most recent, tumultuous quarter.

The Labor Department’s August producer price index was also more favorable than the market predicted. Wholesale prices fell 1.4 percent last month, the biggest decline in 10 months and led by a 6.6 percent drop in energy costs. Core inflation, which eliminates volatile food and energy prices, rose by a mild 0.2 percent, as expected.

“All of the cards have fallen nicely into alignment this morning,” said Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Investors, pointing to Lehman’s earnings, the benign PPI, and a calming third-quarter earnings outlook from Bank of America late Monday. But everything could turn when investors react to the Fed decision.

“They’ve dug in their heels for 50 basis points or bust on the funds rate, and my personal view is they’re probably going to be disappointed,” Orlando said. “The potention for a sloppy market reaction is certainly on the table.”

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