2007 October 03–thetechnicaltrader.net

thetechnicaltrader.net

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Small Cap stocks Portfolio Manager
Symbol
L/S
Entry Date
Entry
Last
G\L Today
Total G\L
????
L
2008-05-23
2.81
2.89
2.1%
2.85%
????
L
2008-06-13
3.62
4.55
3.81%
25.69%
????
L
2008-06-27
4.63
4.67
10.54%
0.86%
????
L
2008-06-30
4.69
4.25
5.35%
9.38%
????
S
2008-06-27
7.89
7.06
0.84%
10.52%
????
S
2008-06-27
9
7.89
3.31%
12.33%
Initial Capital = $50000 /10% equity per trade
Total Portfolio Performance:
536.42 %
TTT.net Benchmark Performance
Index
Start Date
Start Value
% change
Current Value
Nasdaq
2006-03-30
2340.82
4.08%
2245.38
DJIA
2006-03-30
11150.7
1.24%
11288.54
S&P500
2006-03-30
1300.25
2.87%
1262.90
TTT.net
2006-03-30
50000
536.42%
318210
S&P 08'
2008-01-01
1467.97
13.97%
1262.90
Last 5 Closed Trades
Symbol
L/S
Entry Date
Exit Date
Bought
Sold
Gain/Loss
TGC
L
2008-06-16
2008-06-25
1.41
2.28
61.7%
SPNG.OB
L
2008-06-05
2008-06-25
0.05
0.05
0%
AEHR
L
2008-06-03
2008-06-25
9.5
9.62
1.26%
CPTC.OB
L
2008-05-23
2008-06-25
1.08
1
7.41%
NNVC.OB
L
2008-06-16
2008-06-24
1.44
1.34
6.94%
All closed Trades
Last: 11288.54 Change: +73.03
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Untitled Document
Recent Posts on the Message Boards
[Penny Stock Picking] Re: FEEC by waxweazle July 03, 2008, 03:57:59 AM
[Penny Stock Picking] Re: FEEC by waxweazle July 01, 2008, 04:23:29 AM
[Penny Stock Picking] Re: FEEC by waxweazle June 30, 2008, 04:34:34 AM
October 3rd, 2007

CHME.OB - China’s Dirt Cheap Drug Retailer

About China Medicine Corporation

China Medicine is a distributor of medical products, traditional pharmaceutical medicines, traditional Chinese medicines, Chinese herbs and dietary supplements to over 28 provinces and 2,500 customers within China. The Company sells more than 1,500 products and is actively building a pipeline of proprietary traditional and Chinese herbal remedy products targeting oncology, high blood pressure and the removal of Aflatoxins from food and animal feed. For more information visit the Company’s website at http://www.chinamedicinecorp.com .

Yet again we find dirt cheap stocks in China with bullish stock charts backed by strong fundamentals and growth to back it. CHME went public late 2006 and hasn’t formed any real trend yet since its IPO on the OTCBB market. Today the stock made a very bullish breakout (+23.67%) with the companies record volume which could signify the beginning of a trend in the making, especially with its strong growth, as well as being a Chinese stock.

Currently CHME is trading at an estimated 7.57x earnings compared to the Drug Retail industry average of 20x earnings making this stock look dirt cheap looking at its past earnings and current share price. CHME would be more fairly valued near $9/share compared to the American drug retailers. Looking forward, we should expect growth in CHME giving it even a higher fair value in the market place.

recently CHME reported strong growth in the second quarter as follows:
China Medicine Announces Second Quarter 2007 Results
Tuesday August 14, 9:09 am ET
GUANGZHOU, China, Aug. 14 /Xinhua-PRNewswire-FirstCall/ –

Second Quarter Highlights:
– Revenue increased 105% to $8.3 million
– Operating income increased 313% to $1.4 million
– Net Income increased 328% to $1.1 million or $0.08 per diluted share
– First six months revenue increased 70.2% to $13.4 million with EPS of
$0.15
–  Net income increased 47% over Q1

“We continue to make strides as it relates to expanding our proprietary product offering, specifically our Yutain Capsule which is a Traditional Chinese Medicine used to treat lung cancer,” continued Mr. Yang. “We expect to apply for a clinical trial with the SFDA in the near term and our team is very encouraged by the initial results and potential market size.”

Mr. Yang concluded, “The acquisition environment in China remains robust as there are many under capitalized companies that possess significant assets both from a proprietary product standpoint and manufacturing presence. We will continue to evaluate potential acquisitions as we look to add these key components to our business which we believe over time will strengthen our competitive positioning while enhancing our overall profitability.”

Growth looks strong for CHME and dirt cheap at these current prices and looks like a healthy company with a huge current ratio of 40.23. Sitting in the middle of an emerging market along with a bullish chart. This looks like a recipe for big profits in the making. Technically price just broke through resistance near 3.16 on the companies record volume of 2.1m shares suggesting the beginning of a new bullish trend. Optimal entry for this stock would be near the midpoint of the breakout candle near 3.50 or so. Given some time i think its very possible for CHME to breakout to all time highs above 4.43.
Buying CHME chme.ob

October 3rd, 2007

CHLN.OB - Housing Market in China is Hot

About China Housing & Land Development

Based in Xi’an, the capital city of the Shaanxi province in China, China Housing & Land Development, Inc. is the largest Private developer of residential and commercial properties. China Housing has been an independent business since 1992 and became a U.S. public listed Company in 2006.

The housing market has been growing quite rapidly in China over the past few years as China as a whole has been expanding greatly. CHLN has been around for a while and is also expanding its revenues and income very rapidly and are expected to continue into 2010 with huge future projects that will provide steady growth in earnings.

History: Information from Roth Capital presentation

chln1.gif-Largest private resisdential real estate developer in Xian City, Shaanxi Province, China.
- From 1999 - 2006 sales grew from 2.4m to 54.1m in 06′ with net income of over $9m in 2006.
- Average project IRR of 140%

Average living are in Xian is 157 sq ft/person.Central and Local government drivers in place to create 1.26 billion sq ft. of new development by 2020.

Current Projects:
24g: expected $8.6m profit
JunJing 1: expected $10m profit

New Projects: estimates
Yijing Yuan: $23.8m profit
Kang Canyon: $7.4m profit
Baqiao: $168.9m profit
JunJing II: $24.3m profit

The Us housing market has been under major crisis so its hard to even compare this stock to the real estate industry in the US. But the growth rates for CHLN have been very significant over the companies history and are continued to increase significantly over the next few years. chln2.gifCHLN reported .56 eps in 2007 and are expected to jump over 100% in earnings for full year 08 on 1.21 eps giving them a low forward P/E of just 3.88x earnings compared to the industry average in the US of 9x earnings. Which gives CHLN a fair value against the damaged US housing industry over $9/share for 08′ earnings. Though with Chinas growth and emerging market i think CHLN can be valued even farther above $9 share. 09′ estimates are 2.19eps giving them fair value near $20 share. I wouldn’t say these #’s are very accuarate while comparing them to a damaged US housing market. If anything they’re under what they should be, making CHLN look dirt cheap and poised for very strong growth in earnings and share price as we head into the future.

I really like the opportunity arising in this stock and the chart is bullish as well. I think its very possible that share price will breakout above $5/share in the near future and this stock starts making its way to new highs and blue skys.

Buying CHLN.OB
chln

October 3rd, 2007

Todays Bullish Stock Charts

OTCBB:

CSCT
RMDX
SOLUQ
GTEC
GSHO
OCTL
CHNG
CHCG
BCST
CHLN
CCGY
BVSN

MAJOR EXCHANGES:

CHNR
CTDC
CLWT
JRJC
CSUN
PFSW
KONG
RCH
KUN

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