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Small Cap stocks Portfolio Manager
Symbol
L/S
Entry Date
Entry
Last
G\L Today
Total G\L
????
L
2008-04-16
2.82
3.14
5.72%
11.35%
????
L
2008-05-02
2.53
2.70
3.57%
6.72%
????
L
2008-05-07
2.85
2.84
2.74%
0.35%
????
L
2008-04-28
1.335
1.63
5.78%
22.1%
????
L
2008-04-28
0.9915
1.20
3.23%
21.03%
Initial Capital = $50000 /10% equity per trade
Total Portfolio Performance:
497.84 %
TTT.net Benchmark Performance
Index
Start Date
Start Value
% change
Current Value
Nasdaq
2006-03-30
2340.82
4.47%
2445.52
DJIA
2006-03-30
11150.7
14.31%
12745.88
S&P500
2006-03-30
1300.25
6.77%
1388.28
TTT.net
2006-03-30
50000
497.84%
298920
S&P 08'
2008-01-01
1467.97
5.43%
1388.28
Last 5 Closed Trades
Symbol
L/S
Entry Date
Exit Date
Bought
Sold
Gain/Loss
CHCG.OB
L
2008-05-05
2008-05-09
1.86
1.69
9.14%
ENT
L
2008-04-28
2008-05-09
2.6
3.04
16.92%
SYNM
L
2008-04-29
2008-05-08
1.335
1.74
30.34%
CSGH.OB
L
2008-04-24
2008-05-08
0.9915
1.26
27.08%
AOB
L
2008-04-24
2008-05-02
9.04
10.07
11.39%
All closed Trades
Last: 12745.88 Change: -120.90
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Untitled Document
Recent Posts on the Message Boards
[Stock Picking] Re: BBL by mysher May 09, 2008, 03:53:18 PM
[Stock Picking] Re: LAVA by Thegoodlife May 09, 2008, 01:46:19 PM
[Stock Picking] Re: BWTR by Thegoodlife May 09, 2008, 01:44:33 PM
May 7th, 2008

Small Cap Stock Pick Update 5/07/08

To receive real time alerts and analysis for this small cap stock pick please sign up for Black Service Today!

We alerted ???? earliar at the price of 2.44 where i purchased some shares in anticipation of the breakout of this great looking cup and handle formation for a 1/2 position. Now that this breakout has occured we want to pick up the second 1/2 to make a full position in this stock as this chart pattern suggests a price target near 3.60 share. I’m going long ???? for another 1/2 position thursday.

Technical Analysis:
13.png

May 4th, 2008

Small Cap Stock Pick 5/02/08

To receive buy alerts for this stock and our future small cap stock picks sign up for BLACK SERVICE TODAY!!

???? made an awesome move friday breaking out from its 8 month long descending channel on increased volume. This breakout was sparked by some very positive growth in earnings with should keep momentum in favor of the bulls for a short term move i expect of over 20% for us to capitalize on .

Here are the highlights of earnings:
First Quarter 2008 Highlights
– Revenue increased 62%, to $11.7 million versus Q1 2007.
– Net income was $4.2 million, up 76.5% versus Q1 2007.
– Our existing products continue to generate strong sales during the
first quarter of 2008. Sales of Pusen OK have increased by $1 million,
Buflomedil Hydrochloride increased 198%, Gastrodin increased 70%, and
Cefaclor has increased 64% versus Q1 2007.
– EPS was $0.11, up 57.1% versus Q1 2007.

Technical ANalysis Stock Chart:
9.png

April 25th, 2008

American Oriental(AOB) Making Its Comeback

This is A TheTechnicalTrader.net Freebie Stock pick. To Recieve all of our stock pick alerts sign up for BLACK SERVICE TODAY!!

AOB has been in a Steady downtrend since it highs its recent highs around $14/share in late 07′ as the market has been unsteady most of 2008. Although it appears that after this negative momentum China looks to be making a rebound as a whole and along with it the undervalued growth stocks such as AOB.  After hitting lows near 7 or a 50% drop from its highs in late 07′ AOB made a strong rebound while forming a bullish ascending triangle that broke out Thursday on increased volume suggesting continued bullish momentum from here.

Fundamentally AOB looks cheap among its peers in the biotechnology industry currently trading at a low P/E of just 14x earnings compared to the industry average 22x. Looking forward analysts are expecting continued strong growth for AOB of 1.02eps in 2009. Given these estimates we could give AOB an estimated fair value within its industry of 22.47/share found by multiplying forward earnings of 1.02 x the biotech average trading multiple of 22.03. Given that AOB’s fair value within its industry is 151% above its current share price of 8.95 this is a very appealing investment. I took Thursdays breakout as an opportunity to go long AOB.

AOB

April 2nd, 2008

UTVG.OB Posts Strong FY 07 Results. Lets Hop In!

UTVG has treated us nicely in the past and has since become very depressed in price as of late. They reported very strong FY 07′ #’s today which should result in some positive sentiment moving forward from this point on giving us a chance to make some money combined with its bullish reversal chart. Going long UTVG Wednesday.

UTVG

Universal Travel Group Announces 2007 Annual Financial Results
Tuesday April 1, 2:13 am ET

 

Revenues and Net Income Substantially Higher than in 2006

SHENZHEN, China–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Universal Travel Group Inc. (OTCBB: UTVG - News) (Universal Travel Group or the Company), a fast growing travel services provider in China specializing in online and customer representative services to the travel service industry offering packaged tours, air ticketing, hotel reservation and air cargo transportation, today announced its financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2007.

Year 2007 Highlights

Revenues were $44.3 million, up 342%

Gross profit was $14.7 million, up 173%

Gross profit margin was 33%, compared to 54%

Net income was $8.7 million, up 239.9%

Net cash from operating activities reached $7.1 million

I am very pleased with our performance in 2007. I believe our success in growing both revenues and profits substantially was driven by our ability to pursue and execute strategic acquisitions resulting in synergies among different business units. Our successful acquisitions of SSD, XGN, SLB, and FOI helped strengthen our position in air freight forwarding and domestic and international tourism. We will further improve our electronic online travel platform (www.cnutg.com) and provide better customer experience and more convenient online travel services, continue to expand our brand recognition and capture potential growth opportunities. This, I believe, will demonstrate our ability to generate sustainable growth and strong and consistent operational results. I also believe our strong commitment to delivering solid results and maximizing shareholder value will further substantiate our position as a fast growing travel services provider in China, commented Miss Jiangping Jiang, Chairwoman and Chief Executive Officer of Universal Travel Group.

April 1st, 2008

Xinhua Finance Media (XFML) - Small Cap China stock in Play

Howard Sun already made a solid analysis at seekingalpha.com of the fundamentals so i’ll just provide a direct link to his article that i share the same opinion with. Going long XFML tuesday

XFML Article

Technical Analysis:
xfml

March 30th, 2008

GU- Lets Buy More on the Dip. If we can!

GU just decided to get up and go Friday morning and not turn back seizing us from buying any shares near my $11 buy target. Price has rallied over 100% in the last 9 trading sessions so its very likely that some profits should be taken sooner or later. I purchased just a small 1/4 position at 12.50 on friday somewhat distant from my $11 buy target. But its turned out quite well. I’m going to sell this quarter position Monday and look to re-buy another position of GU given the opportunity on a dip near the midpoint of the breakout candle which is 13.50. So we should look to buy some shares in this region as i believe this stock can run higher from here.

GU

March 30th, 2008

Depressed in Price, All Smiles in Value. XIN on the Move!

Its been a while since i’ve found one of these Chinese stocks that used to be so easy to find months ago it was like trying to find piece of hay, in a pile of hay. Since Xinyuan’s IPO in December the trend has been in bear mode as the market has faced credit and housing issues all year long lead by the U.S. which hasn’t been in favor of upside movement for stocks. I’m not one to call a bottom in the housing sector by any means. But there are always short squeezes and short term opportunities to capitalize on in depressed stocks on the long side.

Fundamentally (NYSE:XIN) is deeply undervalued within the Residential construction industry carrying an extremely low forward price/earnings ratio of just 4.38x compared to the industry average of 26.67x. For the recent fourth quarter XIN posted strong results with income up 81% , excluding a one time charge, and revenue more than doubling to $91m. Looking forward XIN is expecting strong growth with an estimated 1.77eps in 09′ hence the extremely low forward P/E. Given these estimates XIN carries a future fair value within the industry near $46/share compared to todays closing price of just 7.83. Obviously is far fetched to think this stock is going to sky rocket to $46/share. But this depressed valuation along with a bullish chart setup is likely to result in a significant upside move that we can capitalize on. I’m going long XIN Monday.

XIN

March 28th, 2008

3 Undervalued Stocks with Strong Technicals: EBS, WEL, GU

First stock we’re gonna take a look at is Emergent Biosolution (NYSE: EBS) . Fundamentally EBS looks strong as it carries a low forward P/E ratio of just 8x earnings on estimates of 1.06 eps in the year following. Currently the Biotech industry is trading at a much higher mutlitple of 26.06x making EBS look fairly cheap among its peers of biotechs. We could suggest a fair value for EBS of 27.60/share found by multiplying the forward earnings of 1.06 by the 26x industry average earnings multiple. This gives us plenty of room to capitalize on a trade with todays closing price of just 8.53:

Technical Analysis:
After breaking out from its bearish descending channel EBS has made a strong run topping it off with todays strong rally on increased volume. Price is down AH and i expect some profits to be taken warrented its overbought. I want to pick up some share of EBS near $8 +/- $.20

EBS


Next we’re going to take a look at a small cap stock thats making a very bullish trend reversal which broke out today indicated by a rounded bottom/ ascending triangle pattern that was accompanied by increased volume confirmation. The company is Boots & Coots International (AMEX: WEL) . WEL holds a very strong forward earnings multiple of just 6x with the Oil & Well equipment industry average trading at a 14.67x multiple making this stock undervalued within its industry. This combined with a very technically strong short provides us with a golden opportunity to capitalize on a profitable trade. WEL’s fair value within its industry is $4.25/share compared to todays closing price of 1.74. I want to go long WEL.
WEL

And last but not least we’re going to take a look at a recent IPO, Gushan Environmental Energy Limited (NYSE: GU). GU has been stuck in a horizontal trading channel ever since its IPO making quite volatile swings up and down. Though with todays strong move and volume increase i think this could be the run that finally breaks this thing out to new all time highs. GU has strong forward growth carrying a significantly low forward earnings multiple of just 6x compared to the Specialty Chemicals trading average of 16x. GU is expecting earnings 1.76eps on 60% revenue growth for the following year giving this stock a very attractive future fair value near $28/share compared to todays closing price of just 11.97. Today price close right near strong horizontal resistance at the top of its channel and is down AH. This provides us with an opportunity to buy some cheaper shares on the dip. I want to be long GU around $11/share

GU

March 18th, 2008

Back in VISN for the Bounce

We traded VISN earliar this month for an awesome 31% trade and it looks like we might be able to catch another strong trade with this stock on the support bounce. Price made a strong move today with price bouncing off of both the horizontal and ascending support levels leading me to believe these support levels will hold. I alerted  a BUY on VISN today on the message board Shout box intraday. If your not a member already sign up today for a free membership and receive our email alerts as well. CLICK HERE

fundies and growth are strong for VISN while this stock is still undervalued. Fair value within its industry is around 16.50/share given its forward earnings estimates of .71 and its industry trading an earnings multiple of 23x.

I went long like Donkey Kong at 9.60

Technical Analysis:VISN

March 14th, 2008

CGLD.OB Breaking out On Strong Earnings

CGLD.OB released some strong earnings yesterday posting some very strong year over year growth. This chart breaking out with very heavy volume in conjunction with this positive earnings and there gold production expanding from 50k to 70k ounces /year expected by 09′ should result in a very strong upside move. I’m in at .77.

Capital Gold Corporation Announces Second Fiscal Quarter Financial Results
Friday March 14, 9:00 am ET

 

Gold Sales and Net Income Up While Cash Costs of Production Remain Well Below Industry Average

NEW YORK, March 14 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ — Capital Gold (TSX: CGC - News; OTC Bulletin Board: CGLD - News) reported today that gold production, revenue and net income were up for the second fiscal quarter, ending January 31, 2008, as compared to the first quarter.
Through January 31, 2008, net sales were $8,043,000 based on 9,550
ounces of gold sold at an average price of $843, as compared to sales
of $6,526,000 based on 9,194 ounces sold at an average price of $711
for the first quarter, a 23% increase. (The London Bullion Market
Association average gold PM fix was $835 for the second fiscal quarter,
ended January 31, 2008).
– Net income was approximately $2,126,000 in the second quarter, which
equates to a fully diluted income per share of $0.01. Net income was
$1,747,000 in the first quarter. Net income for the six months ended
January 31, 2008 was $0.02.
– Cash costs of just $246 were achieved for the six months ending
January, 31, 2008 — well below the gold industry average of
approximately $371 per ounce.
CGLD

March 12th, 2008

Technical Analysis Small Cap Stock Picks: FEED

FEED back on the radar as i alerted this stock the other week though made a false breakout but mentioned to keep this as watch as it shouldn’t be counted out. FEED made a strong move today with increased volume on news of strong earnings and re-affirming 08′ guidance. This is an excellent breakout that i believe should at least be able to rake in 10% more gain from todays close as the chart in conjunction with a solid earnings report should help sustain the momentum here.
[i]
Results, Growth in Net Income of More Than 450%, Affirms 2008 Financial Guidance
Wednesday March 12, 6:00 am ET

SHANGHAI, CHINA–(MARKET WIRE)–Mar 12, 2008 — AgFeed Industries, Inc. (NasdaqGM:FEED - News), a market leader in China’s premix animal nutrition and hog raising industry, today announced record sales and earnings for 2007, primarily from the production and sale of premix animal feed products. AgFeed entered the hog production industry in November 2007 through the acquisition of a breeder hog farm. AgFeed sales in 2007 from hog production were not material.

The following are some of the key financial highlights of the Company for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2007.

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS:

–  Revenues grew 321% to approximately $36.16 million from $8.59 million
in 2006.
–  Gross profit increased to $10.40 million from $3.15 million in 2006.
–  Net income grew 467% to $6.66 million from $1.18 million in 2006.
–  Earnings per share (basic) of $0.26, is an increase of 271% compared
to 2006.
–  Earnings per share (fully diluted) of $0.25, represents an increase of
257% from 2006.
–  Comprehensive income of $7.33 million increased by 482% compared to
2006.
–  As of December 31, 2007, AgFeed had approximately $7.7 million in cash
with no long term debt.

ADVERTISEMENT

Songyan Li, Chairman of AgFeed, commented, “In early 2007, AgFeed projected record sales and earnings for fiscal year 2007. We have delivered such results. AgFeed is now the largest premix animal feed company in China in terms of sales in a highly fragmented industry. We anticipate our feed business will continue to grow at a significant rate in 2008. We also anticipate doubling our independently owned exclusive AgFeed product chain stores to 1,000 stores in 2008.”[/i]

Looking forward FEED expects 08 earnings to be around 1.03eps which gives FEED a fair value of around 19.77/share given that the food processing industry is currently trading at a 19.2x earnings multiple.

I hopped in today on the breakout at $12.

FEED

March 4th, 2008

QTWW Forming a Potential High Profit Trade Setup

Been watching QTWW for the past week or so as it has been bull listed on several occasions here at ttt.net. Price is in the mix of forming what appears to be a possible Cup & Handle trading formation which will be confirmed if price breaks out above the .90 resistance point. Price made a strong move as we neared the close though is down over 3% after hours so momentum could be shocked somewhat. Though overall i think this could become an excellent trade if price breaks out above .90 on volume which in turn should be able to pull us over 20% on a trade IMO. For now my plan is to buy on a breakout above .90 though may look to fill a smaller position prior to this occurrence. Lets see how price reacts Tuesday eh?

QTWW

February 27th, 2008

Undervalued Small Cap With a Bullish Chart Pattern: CNTF

Small Cap Stock Pick: CNTF

CNTF made a strong run today breaking out of its bearish descending channel on news of strong earnings and a positive forward outlook. Quoting a PR from yahoo finance.
“The company’s smartphone business nearly doubled sequentially and was well above our projections due to robust demand for dual-mode smartphones,” Jefferies & Co. analyst Brian White wrote in a note to investors. He rates the stock “Buy.”Techfaith also disclosed plans to work with Google Inc. to develop a phone based on the online search leader’s Android operating system.

The company earned $3.2 million, or 7 cents per share, up from a loss of $6.7 million, or 15 cents per share, in the same period a year ago.”

CNTF has a significantly low forward P/E of just 9x earnings compared to the communications services industry average of 23x earnings. With Estimates around .66 forward earnings this gives CNTF a fair future value within its industry of .66 x 23 = $15.18/ share compared to todays closing price of just 6.21 leaving room for a 144% gain from here to be faily valued within its industry. This undervaluation and momentum on the chart gives us a great setup for a short term trade. Price is unsteady at the moment so i don’t have a full out plan for buying just quite yet. But rest assured im watching this closely and you should be too!

Technical Analysis:CNTF

February 26th, 2008

Long Like Donkey Kong: GIGM, SBLK

GIGM has been a long term favorite of mine that i have traded a few times in the past. I like the way this chart is setting up and think we could capitalize on a move as we head into there earnings call expected march 10th. Price Broke its bullish flag pattern to the upside monday suggesting a continued bullish run. We should expect to see 20.69 horizontal resistance to be broken soon for a further upside move which in turn hopefully snags us a few points! I bought at 20.39 alerted via shout box which is a membership only feature.

technical Analysis :

GIGM

SBLK caught my eye last week when price broke out of a solid looking chart pattern near 11.50/share and have been watching patiently ever since.  i bought only a small 1/4 position here as earnings are going to be released after tuesdays close.  Analysts are expecting a forward earnings of 1.38 of SBLK which weighs some significant fundamental under valuation as SBLK’s future fair value within the water transportation industry is around $25/share.  Earnings plays are risky and i try to stay away from them the most i can. But i like this setup and SBLK’s valuation. Note: only 1/4 position filled here at 12.18.

technical Analysis :
SBLK

February 14th, 2008