The Beginning of the Alessio Rastani Bear Market Prophecies? DOW Technicals leaning that Way

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If you’re in the trading game then you have probably heard of Alessio Rastani. A trader who got on BBC TV and called bullshit on the market and who is in control of the money out there. Claiming that he dreams about opportunities like this so that he can bank on the short side when the market collapses. Heres the you tube video posted on sept 26th.

Despite his claims he has be nothing but wrong since he called this collapse in the market as the market rallied over 1000 points over the next 1.5 months since he aired on BBC calling the market demise. But looking @ the DOW technicals it looks like the market could be swinging back in his favor, @ least from a short term perspective.

I’m a long biased trader as anyone who is familiar with me knows. My #1 rated FOUS4 DVD is based on 4 different breakout buying strategies to profit. Yet i use an indicator following the DOW technicals to know when i should be heavily buying breakouts or buying into breakouts lightly and quickly taking my profits.

The 13ema and 20ema follow short term trends extremely closely. If the DOW is trending above the 13/20ema combo then bulls are in favor of the short term market and the probability of breakouts catching big continuations is much higher. And vice versa when the DOW is trending below the 13/20ema combo breakout plays are typically met with heavy selling/shorting so you need to trade lighter and be very quick to take your profits on breakout plays.

Shortly after Rastani called the market collapse we got a bullish crossover of the 13/20ema combo and the market rallied over 1000 points in just over a month in which we were able to make some big Gains on #FOUS4 patterns like DEXO, BIOF, PEIX, URRE, etc…

Now just yesterday we got a confirmed close below the 13/20ema combo indicating a short term trend reversal in favor of the bears. I sold all my longs yesterday and picked up a position in $ERY , The 3x bear energy play

Heres an illustration of how the market trends with the 13/20ema combo. Have a great weekend everyone! Be careful Longs! Bears Got the upper hand currently.

 

Bulls Power Thru the DOW 50ma In Spite of Eurozone Collapse Worries. FOUS4 Revival Patterns Coming Soon!

Markets powered into the close with full force after what was actually a very boring day. We gapped open strong with lots of side ways action until the final power hour of the markets when a sell off triggered, followed by a violent rally into the close for the bulls. More madness continues intraday in todays market as you can see illustrated by the 3x small cap bear ETF $TZA . The Battle of Bear Shit and Bull Shit! Lots of heavy moves within the session that can throw you off and send mixed signals.

Stock Chart: TZA – check out the last hour of trading.. WTF

 

But regardless of the action within the session the Bulls had the last laugh as we closed @ highs of the session.. Making that about 1000 point rally in the DOW since the lows were in on oct 4th. Economically i have no opinion on how the markets are gonna shape up from here. Im not an economist and im not gonna pretend understand to know anything better than some guru on tv… that doesnt know wtf hes talking about either.. because no one really knows. But from a technical analysis stand point the short term trend indicators are beginning to lean in favor of the bulls. The market had a few catalysts today that say so. First off the DOW powered through the 50 day moving after today which is typically a good indicator of trend favor. Secondly we powered through the 50ma with a strong marubozu candle. Thirdly, we broke out above the short term descending trendline on the DOW chart. And finally we are pushing strong above the 13ema, of which is my favorite short term trend indication tool, as i explain in my #1 Rated Trading dvd the FOUS4 that im most confident in the FOUS4 patterns when the dow is trading above the 13ema. See the chart below

Stock Chart: INDU

 

Now this doesn’t mean im all of the sudden bullish on the market. I’m 100% cash right now i dont trust this market for shit. But we are stabilizing coming out of this recent chop with some strong bull power here. We’re far from a trending short term market we are still in the chop shop so overnight holds can be very risky. Plus we have earnings season coming up on top of awaiting to see what the hell is gonna happen with the Eurozone and what kind of plan they are going to come up with to bailout europe. Or if the whole system is going to fail. So despite the market looking semi-bullish here. We certainly still have some turbulent times coming up in the month ahead and heavy sell offs are definitely something to look out for on any sort of bad news.

As far as FOUS4 patterns go they have been pretty slim the past month.. But this whole sell off is great. We have a vast amount of stocks that sold off huge this past 2-3 months and are now popping off their bottoms hard. Which can typically be phase 1 of a revival pattern. So I’m definitely looking forward to seeing what kind of FOUS4 patterns start creeping up soon and we make a killing!

Video: Trading Breakouts on BLTI, EGHT, TIII, SPPI. Plus a look @ the Dow Technicals

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Anyways. Onto the Stock Pick Video about EGHT, TIII, BLTI, SPPI and such! Stock charts + technical analysis


8k A Short Term Bottom on the DOW? Technical Analysis View

The dow dipped nearly 200 points out of the gate this morning dropping slightly below the 8,000 level briefly before it turned on the afterburners and rallied hard in the later 1/2 of the session to close with some green on the screen, actually up 12.35 points to close.

looking at the DOW chart i was expecting to see some support in the 8k range as whole numbers serve as psychological support areas as well this has been a support area in the past which has created a horizontal trading channel and we’re sitting at the bottom.

Hard to say whats going to happen as we’ve got some big earnings coming up that will have a big effect on the market throwing traditional TA out the window as the market is been widely controlled by hype and media since september. Citi is set to report earnings Friday morning before the market open.

The Dow  formed a bullish hammer candle today after bouncing off of the 8k level indicating this could be a short term bottom and a short squeeze could be upon us after the dow fell for the past 9 sessions for around a 1000 point free fall.

dow12

Markets Got Slammed Today. But I bought A new stock!

The markets got hurt pretty bad today with the retail sales report weighing heavy to the downside momentum in the market. The Dow tumbled nearly 250 points today or 3% which broke down its short term ascending trendline.

Next support level is just below us at 8k and if that breaks we’ll probably head to the november lows around 7500.  I think its probable that 8k will be a tought spot for the market to break through. This all depends on what kind of earnings reports major corporations will report though. Everyone knows they’re are gonna look like shit. But if they look like shit with a pile of puke on em then the markets will fall. Earnings are always a tough time to be trading in due to the volatility and unpredictability factor.

dow11

Yet despite the market looking grim i bought another stock today that has minimal downside risk and huge reward potential!

Small Cap Stock Pick  – ????

I’m mainly using technical analysis to play this stock. They announced a big capital spending cut which lead to that huge rally a week ago on huge volume. This created an excellent chart pattern with breakout resistance around 1.37. I bought a small chunk of this stock today at 1.15 here at horizontal support anticipating a possible rebound followed by a breakout. Setting a very tight stop on this one thought on a move below this horizontal support at 1.12 as this could very well drop back to one or lower and hurt me % wise. But overall with our tight stop there is a huge risk reward potential here.

Technical Analysis:

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How about a little Technical Analysis on the DOW

2009 kicking off with a stearn footing for the bulls as jan 1st posted around a 250 point gain for the DOW and closed above 9k for the first time in several months. Now we just gotta hold these prices above 9k to keep the bullriders smile on their faces. Currently price is sitting right around the last peak resistance where we failed to break out above the 9k level. So as we just witnessed a 3 day bull run i think its fairly probable we could see some people taking profits Monday. Futures are indicating this is possible as well as they are down 40 points currently in early trading.

dow2

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